Main Publications

Recent book reviews:

Causal Analysis in Population Studies: Concepts, Methods, Applications. Edited by Henriette Engelhardt, Hans-Peter Kohler, and Alexia Prskawetz. European Journal of Population 26 (4), 507–509 (2010).

The Cult of Statistical Significance: How the Standard Error Costs Us Jobs, Justice, and Lives. By Stephen T. Zilliak and Deidre N. McCloskey. Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press. Population Studies 63 (2), 195-196 (2009).

2011:

An extension of the conventional TFR (by JMH and Cornelia Muresan), European Journal of Population 27 (forthcoming).

The Total Marital Fertility Rate and its extensions (by JMH and Cornelia Muresan). European Journal of Population, 27 (3), 295-312.
[ Online ]

2010:

Italy’s non-negligible cohabitational unions (by Giuseppe Gabrielli and Jan M. Hoem). European Journal of Population, 26 (1), 33-46.
[ Online ]

Levels of recent union formation: six European countries compared (by Jan M. Hoem, with Giuseppe Gabrielli, Aiva Jasilioniene, Dora Kostova, and Anna Matysiak). Demographic Research, 22 (9), 199-210.
[ Online ]

The negative educational gradients in Romanian fertility (by Cornelia Muresan and Jan M. Hoem). Demographic Research, 22 (4), 95-114.
[ Online ]

‘Demography’, ‘The life table’, and ‘Statistical significance’: Three contributions to appear imminently in the International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science, Miodrag Lovric (ed.), Springer Verlag.

2009:

The structure of recent first-union formation in Romania (by Jan M. Hoem, Dora Kostova, Aiva Jasilioniene, and Cornelia Muresan). Romanian Journal of Population Studies 3 (1), 33-44.

Traces of the Second Demographic Transition in four selected countries in Central and Eastern Europe: union formation as a demographic manifestation. A descriptive research note (by Jan M. Hoem, Aiva Jasilioniene, Dora Kostova, and Cornelia Muresan). European Journal of Population, 25 (3), 239-255.
[ Online ]

The Cult of Statistical Significance: How the Standard Error Costs Us Jobs, Justice, and Lives. 2008. By Stephen T. Zilliak and Deidre N. McCloskey. Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press [Book review] (by Jan M. Hoem). Population Studies, 63 (2), 195-196.
[ Online ]

2008:

Early traces of the Second Demographic Transition in Bulgaria: A joint analysis of marital and non-marital union formation (by Jan M. Hoem and Dora Kostova). Population Studies 62 (3), 259-271.
[ Online ]

Marriage formation as an intermediary process between migration and childbearing (by Jan M. Hoem and Lesia Nedoluzhko). Demographic Research 18 (21), 611-628.
[ Online ]

Education and permanent childlessness: Austria vs. Sweden; a research note (by Gerda Neyer and Jan M. Hoem). In Demographic Challenges for the 21st Century; A state of the Art in Demography. A congratulatory volume for Ron Lesthaeghe, ed. by Johan Surkyn, Patrick Deboosere, and Jan Van Bavel. Brussels: Brussels University Press, pp. 91-112.

Childbearing Trends and Policies in Europe (edited by Tomas Frejka, Tomas Sobotka, Jan M. Hoem, and Laurent Toulemon). Special Collection 7 in Demographic Research, 3 volumes. Also Preface (by Jan M. Hoem, Volume 1, pp. 1-4) and Summary and General Conclusions (by Tomas Frejka, Tomas Sobotka, Jan M. Hoem, and Laurent Toulemon, Volume 1, pp. 5-14).
[ Online ]

The impact of public policies on European fertility. Overview Chapter 8 in Frejka et al., above, Volume 1, pp. 249-260.
[ Online ]

The reporting of statistical significance in scientific journals. Reflexion. Demographic Research 18 (15), 437-442.
[ Online ]

2007:

Demography, present and future. Comments to an article by Dominique Tabutin; by invitation. Population: English Edition 62 (1), 53-56.

2006:

Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 1: Education and first childbearing (by Jan M. Hoem and Michaela Kreyenfeld). Reflexion. Demographic Research, 15 (16), pp. 461-484.
[ Online ]

Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 2: Marriage and first birth (by Jan M. Hoem and Michaela Kreyenfeld). Reflexion. Demographic Research, 15 (17), pp. 485-498.
[ Online ]

Educational attainment and ultimate fertility among Swedish women born in 1955-59 (by Jan M. Hoem, Gerda Neyer, and Gunnar Andersson). Demographic Research 14 (16), pp. 381-404.
[ Online ]

Educational attainment and childlessness: The relationship between educational field, educational level, and childlessness among Swedish women born in 1955-59 (by Jan M. Hoem, Gerda Neyer, and Gunnar Andersson). Demographic Research 14 (15), pp. 331.380.
[ Online ]

Social differentials in speed-premium effects in childbearing in Sweden (by Gunnar Andersson, Jan M. Hoem, and Ann-Zofie Duvander). Demographic Research 14 (4), pp. 51-70.
[ Online ]

Fertilität, Familiengründung und Familienerweiterung in den nordischen Ländern (von Gerda Neyer, Gunnar Andersson, Jan Hoem, Marit Rønsen, und Andres Vikat). MPIDR Working Paper 2006-022.
[ Online ]

2005:

Why does Sweden have such high fertility? MPIDR Working Paper. Demographic Research 13 (22), pp. 559-572. Also pp. 77-93 in Charlotte Höhn and Jürgen Flöthmann (Eds.). Wege zu einer erfolgreichen Familien- und Bevölkerungspolitik. Beiträge zur Jahrestagung 2005. Schriftenreihe der deutschen Gesellschaft für Demographie, Band 1, 2007.
[ Online (Working Paper) | Online (Demographic Research Article) ]

2004:

Childbearing patterns for Swedish mothers of twins, 1961-1999 (by Jan M. Hoem and Margit Strandberg). Demographic Research 11 (15).
[ Online ]

2002:

Childbearing in stepfamilies: How parity matters (by Elizabeth Thomson, Jan M. Hoem, Andres Vikat, et al.). Dynamics of fertility and partnership in Europe: Insights and lessons from comparative research 2, 87-99. United Nations Publication E.02.II.E.10.

2001:

"Demographic analysis, a probabilistic approach to" and "Life table"; two contributions to the International Encyclopedia for the Social and Behavioral Sciences, Elsevier.

Autonomy or conservative adjustment? The effect of public policies and educational attainment on third births in Austria, 1975-96 (by Jan M. Hoem, Alexia Prskawetz, Gerda Neyer). Population Studies, 55 (3), 249-261. Reprinted in the Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2003, 101-119.

"Life table"; contribution to the International Encyclopedia for the Social and Behavioral Sciences, Elsevier.

2000:

Systematic patterns of zero exposures in event-history analysis. Sociological Methodology 2000 30, 237-259.

Concepts for a second round of fertility and family surveys in Europe with particular attention paid to persons of reproductive/working age (by Jan M. Hoem, ed., et al.). Pp. 59-104 in Generations and Gender Programme: Exploring future research and data collection options, United Nations Economic Commission for Europe/United Nations Population Fund.

1999:

Stepfamily-fertility in contemporary Sweden: the impact of childbearing before the current union (by Andres Vikat, Elizabeth Thomson, and Jan M. Hoem). Population Studies 53 (2), 211-225.

The low-weight neonatal survival paradox in the Czech Republic (by Elwood Carlson and Jan M. Hoem). American Journal of Epidemiology 149 (5), 447-453.

Trajectories of fetal loss in the Czech Republic (by Elwood Carlson, Jitka Rychtáríkova, and Jan M. Hoem), Demography 36 (3), 327-337, 1999.

Fertility trends in Sweden up to 1996 (by Britta Hoem and Jan M. Hoem). Population Bulletin of the United Nations 40/41, 318-333.

Selection processes in stepfamily fertility (by Elizabeth Thomson, Jan M. Hoem, and Amy Godecker). Paper presented to the European Population conference, The Hague, The Netherlands, August 20-September 4, 1999. In print.

1998:

The life table. Contribution to the Encyclopedia of Biostatistics.

Couple childbearing plans and births in Sweden (by Elizabeth Thomson and Jan M. Hoem). Demography 35, 315-322.

1997:

Educational gradients in divorce risks in Sweden in recent decades. Population Studies 51, 19-27.

Sweden’s family policies and roller-coaster fertility (by Britta Hoem and Jan M. Hoem). Journal of Population Problems (Tokyo), 52 (3-4), 1-22.

The impact of the first child on family stability. Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, No. 119.
[ Word-Document ]

1995:

Education, modernization, and the risk of marriage disruption: differences in the effect of women's educational attainment in Sweden, West-Germany, and Italy (by Hans-Peter Blossfeld, Alessandra De Rose, Jan M. Hoem, and Götz Rohwer). Pp. 200-222 in Karen O. Mason and An-Magritt Jensen (eds.), Gender and Family Change in Industrialized Countries. Oxford: Clarendon Press for the IUSSP.

Harmless omission in the standardization of demographic rates. European Journal of Population 11, 313-322.

Educational capital and divorce risks in Sweden in the 1970s and 1980s. Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, No. 95.

1993:

Public policy as the fuel of fertility: effects of a policy reform on the pace of childbearing in Sweden in the 1980s. Acta Sociologica 36 (1), 19-31.

Classical demographic methods of analysis and modern event-history techniques. IUSSP: 22nd International Population Conference, Montreal, Canada, 1993, Volume 3, 281-291.

1992:

The disruption of marital and nonmarital unions in contemporary Sweden. Pp. 61-93 James Trussell, Richard Hankinson, and Judith Tilton (eds.): Demographic Applications of Event History Analysis. Oxford: Clarendon Press.

1991:

To marry, just in case...: the Swedish widow's-pension reform and the peak in marriages in December 1989. Acta Sociologica 34, 127-135. A version in Swedish was printed in Statistics Sweden (1990): Befolkningsförändringar 1989, Del 3.

Fluttering tails in moving average graduation. Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, No. 62. Also appeared as an annex to Chapter 3 in Robert Erikson and John Goldthorpe: Class Mobility in Industrial Societies: a Comparative Study.

La standardisation indirecte améliorée et son application à la divortialité en Suède (1971-1989). Population 46 (6), 1551-1568.

1990:

Identifiability in hazard models with unobserved heterogeneity: the compatibility of two apparently contradictory results. Theor. Popul. Rev. 37 (1), 124-128.

Restriction biases in the analysis of births and marriages to cohabiting women from data on the most recent conjugal union only. Pp. 555-600 in Karl Ulrich Mayer and Nancy Tuma (eds.): Event History Analysis in Life Course Research. Madison: The University of Wisconsin Press.

The retrospective premium reserve (by Henk Wolthuis and Jan M. Hoem). Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 9, 229-234.

Limitations of a heterogeneity technique: selectivity issues in conjugal union disruption at parity zero in contemporary Sweden. Pp. 133-153 in Julian Adams, Albert Hermalin, David Lam, and Peter Smouse (eds.): Convergent Questions in Genetics and Demography. Oxford University Press.

Social policy and recent fertility change in Sweden. Population and Development Review 16 (4), 735-748.

1989:

The issue of weights in panel surveys of individual behavior. Pp. 539-565 in Daniel Kasprzyk, Greg Duncan, Graham Kalton and M. P. Singh (eds.): Panel Surveys. New York: Wiley.

The impact of women's employment on second and third births in modern Sweden (by Britta Hoem and Jan M. Hoem). Population Studies, 43: 47-676.

The versatility of the Markov chain as a tool in the mathematics of life insurance. Transactions of the 23rd International Congress of Actuaries, Helsinki, Finland, 11-16 July 1988. Vol. R, 171-202.

1988:

The Swedish Family: Aspects of Contemporary Developments (by Britta Hoem and Jan M. Hoem) Journal of Family Issues 9 (3) 397-424.

The tails in moving average graduation (by Jan M. Hoem and Per Linnemann). Scandinavian Actuarial Journal 4: 193-229.

Demographic reproduction rates and the estimation of an expected total count per person in an open population (by Ørnulf Borgan and Jan M. Hoem). J. American Statist. Assoc. 83 (403) 886-891.

1987:

Statistical analysis of a multiplicative model and its application to the standardization of vital rates: A review. International Statistical Review, 55, 119-152.

Invited contribution (pp. 717-719) to the discussion of David Brillinger's paper "The natural variability of vital rates and associated statistics". Biometrics 42 (4), 693-734.

Patterns of deferment of first births in modern Sweden. (by Jan M. Hoem and Britta Hoem). Paper for the European Population Conference in Jyväskylä, Finland. Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, No. 42.

1986:

The impact of education on modern family-union initiation. European Journal of Population 2, 113-133.

1985:

Modern family initiation in Sweden: Experience of women born between 1936 and 1960 (by Jan M. Hoem and Bo Rennermalm). European Journal of Population 1, 81-112.

Weighting, misclassification, and other issues in the analysis of survey samples of life histories. Pp. 249-293 in James J. Heckman and Burton Singer, Longitudinal Analysis of Labour Market Data. Cambridge University Press.

1984:

The negligible influence of premarital cohabitation on marital fertility in current Danish cohorts, 1975 (by Jan M. Hoem and Randi Selmer). Demography 21 (2), 193-206.

A contribution to the statistical theory of linear graduation. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 3 (1), 1-17

Marriages connected with first births among cohabiting women in the Danish fertility survey of 1975. Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, No. 19.

1983:

Balancing bias in vital rates due to an informative sampling plan. Pp. 81-88 in Lars Lyberg (ed.), Essays in Honour of Tore E. Dalenius, Statistical Review III 21 (5).

Distortions caused by nonobservation of periods of cohabitation before the latest. Demography 20 (4), 491-506.

The reticent trio: Some little-known early discoveries in insurance mathematics by Oppermann, Thiele, and Gram. Internat. Statist. Rev. 51, 213-221.

Sveriges hundraåriga fruktsamhetsfall. [A century of fertility decline in Sweden.] Pp. 185-211 in Barn? Författare, forskare och skolungdom diskuterar varför det föds så få barn. Stockholm: Liber Förlag. (In Swedish.)

1982:

Multistate life table methodology: A probabilist critique (by Jan M. Hoem and Ulla Funck Jensen). Pp. 155-264 in K. Land and A. Rogers (eds.), Multidimensional Mathematical Demography. New York: Academic Press.

Biases in cohabitational nuptiality rates caused by nonobservation of periods of cohabitation before the latest: An empirical note (by Jan M. Hoem and Bo Rennermalm). University of Stockholm, Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, No. 6.

1981:

Experiments in modelling recent Danish fertility curves (by Jan M. Hoem and five co-authors). Demography 18 (2), 231-244.

1980:

Starting age and subsequent birth intervals in cohabitational unions in current Danish cohorts, 1975. Demography 17 (3), 279-295.

Who first fitted a mortality formula by least squares? Blätter, Deutsch. Ges. für Versich.math. 14 (3), 459-460.

The training of the actuary in Denmark (by Jan M. Hoem and Dann Mortensen). Trans. 21st Internat. Congr. Act., Zürich and Lausanne. Vol. N, pp. 51-60.

1978:

Actuarial values of payment streams (by Jan M. Hoem and Odd O. Aalen). Scand. Act. J. 1978 (1), 38-48.

Random time changes for multivariate counting processes (by Odd O. Aalen and Jan M. Hoem). Scand. Act. J. 1978 (2), 81-101.

Demographic incidence rates. Theor. Popul. Biol. 14 (3), 329-337. Bibliographic Note, 18 (2), 195.

Cohort trends in cohabitational birth intervals in Denmark, 1975 by Fjalar Finnäs and Jan M. Hoem). Scand. Popul. Studies 5 196-210.

On the statistical theory of analytic graduation by splines (by Jan M. Hoem and Bo Rennermalm). University of Copenhagen, Laboratory of Actuarial Mathematics, Working Paper No. 14.

Invited contribution to the discussion after Carl-Erik Särndal's lectures on "Design-based and model-based inference in survey sampling". Scand. J. Statist. 5 (1), 45-48.

Modelling cohabitational birth intervals in the current Danish population: A progress report (by Henry I. Braun and Jan M. Hoem). University of Copenhagen, Laboratory of Actuarial Mathematics, Working Paper No. 24.

1977:

Fertility and out-migration: Reflections on research approaches in empirical investigations of the association between two demo- graphic phenomena. Pp. 55-83 in Åke E. Andersson and Ingvar Holmberg (eds.), Demographic, Economic and Social Interaction. Cambridge, Mass.: Ballinger.

1976:

Theoretical and empirical results on the analytic graduation of fertility rates (by Jan M. Hoem and Erling Berge). Pp. 363-371 in Proc. 8th Internat. Biometric Conf., Constanta, Romania, 1974.

On the optimality of modified minimum chi-square analytic graduation. Scand. J. Statist. 3 (2), 89-92.

Stochastic stable population theory with continuous time (by Niels Keiding and Jan M. Hoem). Scand. Act. J. 1976 (3), 150-175.

The statistical theory of demographic rates: A review of current developments (with discussion). Scand. J. Statist. 3 (4), 169-185.

A Markov chain model of working life tables (reports with co-authors). University of Copenhagen, Laboratory of Actuarial Mathematics, Working Papers No. 2, 4 and 7. Partly published in Scand. Act. J. 1977 (1), 1-20.

1975:

Some problems in Hadwiger fertility graduation (by Jan M. Hoem and Erling Berge). Scand. Act. J. 1975, 129-144.

The demographic interpretation of the basic parameters in Hadwiger fertility graduation (by Jan M. Hoem and Britta Holmbeck). Statistisk tidskr. III 13 (5), 369-375.

1974:

The labour force surveys of the Central Bureau of Statistics of Norway: The need for a revision of the questionnaire, 1974/75 (by Jan M. Hoem and Olav Ljones). Oslo: Central Bureau of Statistics of Norway, Working Paper IO 74/52, 1974. (In Norwegian.)

1973:

The sample surveys of the Central Bureau of Statistics of Norway: Basic mathematical elements. Oslo: Central Bureau of Statistics of Norway, Article No. 58.

Non-life insurance mathematics. University of Oslo, Department of Mathematics. (Lecture notes. In Norwegian.)

Levels of error in population forecasts. Oslo: Central Bureau of Statistics of Norway, Article No. 61.

1972:

On the statistical theory of analytic graduation. Proc. Sixth Berkeley Symp. 1, 569-600.

A probabilistic theory for collective children's pension insurance. Skandinavisk Aktuarietidskrift 54, 74-79.

Disability income benefits in group life insurance (by Jan M. Hoem, Jan Riis and Rolf Sand). Skandinavisk Aktuarietidskrift 54, 190-203.

Inhomogeneous semi-Markov processes, select actuarial tables, and duration-dependence in demography. Pp. 251-296 in T. N. E. Greville (ed.), Population Dynamics. New York: Academic Press.

1971:

Point estimation of forces of transition in demographic models. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 33 (2). 275-289.

On the interpretation of the maternity function as a probability density. Theor. Popul. Biol. 2, 319-327. Erratum: 3 (2), 240.

On the interpretation of certain vital rates as averages of underlying forces of transition. Theor. Popul. Biol. 2 (4), 454-468.

An elementary introduction to the math. of finance. Oslo University Press. (In Norwegian.)

1970:

Probabilistic fertility models of the life table type. Theor. Popul. Biol. 1 (1), 12-38.

A probabilistic approach to nuptiality. Biométrie-Praximétrie 11 (1), 3-19.

1969:

Fertility rates and reproduction rates in a probabilistic setting. Biométrie-Praximétrie 10 (1), 38-66. Erratum: 11 (1), 20.

Purged and partial Markov chains. Skandinavisk Aktuarietidskrift 52, 147-155.

Some notes on the qualifying period in disability insurance. I. Actuarial values. II. Problems of maximum likelihood estimation. Mitteil. Verein. schweizer. Versicherungsmath. 69 (1), 105-116 and 69 (2), 301-317.

The sampling distribution of an estimator arising in connection with the truncated exponential distribution. Ann. Math. Statist. 40 (2), 701-703.

Markov chain models in life insurance. Blätter, Deutsche Ges. für Versich.math. 9 (2), 91-107.

Concepts of a bisexual theory of marriage formation. Statistisk tidskrift III 7 (4), 295-300.

1968:

Pension funding. Oslo University Press. (In Norwegian.)

1967:

Basic concepts of formal demography. Oslo University Press. (In Norwegian.)

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